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Red203
283672.3
511434.8
87661.1
Blue134
56829.9
555435.7
24548.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16474050100150200250300203134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.32.4
63.465.8
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
red by 24.2
245
#32
48.12.4
42.344.8
Auto0.8
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Second
876
#6
61.12.4
55.157.5
Auto0.3
Teleop60.8
End0.0
red by 25.4
5554
#41
35.72.4
27.429.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Third
5114
#50
34.82.4
37.039.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 4.9
568
#43
29.92.4
21.423.9
Auto0.7
Teleop29.1
End0.0