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Red173
572518.5
96744.4
11146.8
Blue138
361857.8
205250.2
378749.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90151050200250173138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#31
46.83.5
45.749.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
blue by 11.0
57.80.5
53.953.5
Auto1.1
Teleop56.6
End0.0
Second
967
#39
44.43.5
37.641.1
Auto0.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 5.7
2052
#33
50.20.5
48.448.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
Third
5725
#70
18.53.5
19.623.1
Auto0.0
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 30.6
3787
#15
49.10.5
44.644.2
Auto0.6
Teleop48.5
End0.0