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Red170
38448.7
4535.8
361857.8
Blue102
262622.6
10215.5
555435.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140490100200250170102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.82.0
53.555.5
Auto1.1
Teleop56.6
End0.0
red by 22.1
5554
#41
35.71.8
29.831.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Second
384
#17
48.72.0
41.343.3
Auto0.0
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 26.1
2626
#57
22.61.8
22.324.1
Auto0.6
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
45
#38
35.82.0
35.537.5
Auto1.2
Teleop34.6
End0.0
red by 20.3
102
#71
15.51.8
13.014.8
Auto0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0