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Red142
356237.2
317523.8
366842.3
Blue132
471952.4
558427.2
341022.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8698050150200250300350142132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#26
42.32.5
38.140.6
Auto0.1
Teleop42.2
End0.0
blue by 10.1
4719
#16
52.41.6
52.754.3
Auto0.3
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Second
3562
#29
37.22.5
30.733.2
Auto0.1
Teleop37.1
End0.0
red by 10.0
5584
#51
27.21.6
24.826.4
Auto0.9
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Third
3175
#60
23.82.5
22.425.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 1.8
3410
#55
22.01.6
22.424.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0