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Red27
190220.7
418929.5
402614.9
Blue46
360020.9
363522.2
510917.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665701001502746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.7
30.329.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 7.3
22.20.3
22.522.2
Auto0.3
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
1902
#14
20.70.7
21.420.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 0.2
20.90.3
21.120.9
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
4026
#19
14.90.7
15.614.9
Auto0.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 2.1
5109
#13
17.00.3
17.317.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0