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Red64
131929.6
573415.8
402614.9
Blue48
326622.5
174626.0
360020.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403502060801001201401606448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.9
20.222.1
Auto0.5
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 3.5
26.00.9
11.612.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
5734
#26
15.81.9
7.19.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 6.7
3266
#17
22.50.9
16.317.2
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
4026
#19
14.91.9
13.715.7
Auto0.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 6.0
20.90.9
9.110.0
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0