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Red0
191212.1
35163.8
326622.5
Blue19
33449.9
23313.4
168318.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38350206080100120019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3266
#17
22.53.2
16.713.5
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 4.5
1683
#15
18.01.5
14.012.5
Auto0.7
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
1912
#33
12.13.2
15.412.2
Auto0.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 1.4
233
#36
13.41.5
13.812.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
3516
#40
3.83.2
6.83.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 6.1
3344
#32
9.91.5
9.17.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.0
End0.0