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Red59
29189.9
418929.5
533223.5
Blue68
208013.6
146626.9
190220.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2545060801001201401605968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.53.0
11.414.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 2.6
26.92.1
18.120.2
Auto0.9
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
23.53.0
11.614.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 2.9
1902
#14
20.72.1
11.513.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
2918
#27
9.93.0
6.19.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 3.8
2080
#18
13.62.1
13.715.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0