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Red16
35163.8
553613.8
573415.8
Blue76
255616.0
314016.2
395924.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14330204060801001201676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5734
#26
15.80.2
7.97.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 8.7
24.53.7
10.514.2
Auto0.7
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
5536
#23
13.80.2
8.17.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 2.4
3140
#12
16.23.7
9.313.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
3516
#40
3.80.2
2.11.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 12.2
2556
#21
16.03.7
11.815.5
Auto0.4
Teleop15.6
End0.0