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Red24
369414.0
350614.9
190220.7
Blue24
30916.4
47305.1
363522.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322004060801002424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#14
20.70.1
12.612.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 1.5
22.20.1
11.211.3
Auto0.3
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
3506
#24
14.90.1
11.311.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 8.5
3091
#39
6.40.1
4.14.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
Third
3694
#16
14.00.1
7.47.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 8.9
4730
#41
5.10.1
7.77.8
Auto0.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0