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Red60
314016.2
363522.2
131117.9
Blue52
326622.5
30916.4
100219.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353602060801001206052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.22.0
11.313.3
Auto0.3
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 0.2
3266
#17
22.51.2
17.218.4
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
1311
#20
17.92.0
11.813.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 1.7
1002
#10
19.61.2
16.117.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
3140
#12
16.22.0
13.015.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 9.9
3091
#39
6.41.2
4.25.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0