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Red79
131929.6
190220.7
533223.5
Blue77
553613.8
395924.5
510917.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions562801001507977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.62.0
21.923.9
Auto0.5
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 5.1
24.53.4
14.718.1
Auto0.7
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
23.52.0
13.915.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 6.6
5109
#13
17.03.4
11.915.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
1902
#14
20.72.0
17.719.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 6.9
5536
#23
13.83.4
7.010.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0