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Red27
494115.2
208013.6
131117.9
Blue18
314016.2
402614.9
83215.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4241102030506070802718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#20
17.91.3
13.812.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 1.7
3140
#12
16.21.9
15.013.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Second
4941
#22
15.21.3
14.413.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
832
#29
15.91.9
14.612.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
2080
#18
13.61.3
15.213.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4026
#19
14.91.9
13.411.5
Auto0.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0