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Red70
35819.3
363522.2
168318.0
Blue102
402614.9
146626.9
395924.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3453020608010012014016070102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.22.3
15.217.4
Auto0.3
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 4.7
26.93.6
22.225.8
Auto0.9
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
1683
#15
18.02.3
14.516.8
Auto0.7
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 6.6
24.53.6
18.121.7
Auto0.7
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
3581
#34
9.32.3
8.711.0
Auto0.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4026
#19
14.93.6
11.515.1
Auto0.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0