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Red20
179513.2
369414.0
208013.6
Blue13
41885.4
168318.0
35163.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4220060801001201402013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3694
#16
14.01.4
13.111.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 3.9
1683
#15
18.00.8
16.816.0
Auto0.7
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
2080
#18
13.61.4
12.310.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 8.2
4188
#42
5.40.8
4.43.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.5
End0.0
Third
1795
#25
13.21.4
15.013.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 9.4
3516
#40
3.80.8
3.12.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0