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Red50
332921.9
395924.5
50047.0
Blue33
553613.8
255616.0
136911.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47290204060801001201401605033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.3
21.721.9
Auto0.7
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 8.5
2556
#21
16.00.0
12.712.7
Auto0.4
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
21.90.3
19.720.0
Auto0.2
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 8.1
5536
#23
13.80.0
11.711.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
5004
#35
7.00.3
4.75.0
Auto0.3
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 4.1
1369
#30
11.10.0
8.68.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0