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Red85
164823.4
131929.6
326622.5
Blue67
314016.2
146626.9
179513.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71500204060801001201401608567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.3
27.828.1
Auto0.5
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 2.6
26.90.2
26.526.7
Auto0.9
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
1648
#11
23.40.3
21.722.0
Auto0.9
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 7.2
3140
#12
16.20.2
15.816.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
3266
#17
22.50.3
20.721.0
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 9.3
1795
#25
13.20.2
12.813.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0