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Red81
546044.5
46810.1
520322.4
Blue116
519315.8
481922.3
550943.8
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7380020030040050081116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
Unranked
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
red by 0.7
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Second
5203
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 0.1
4819
Unranked
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
468
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5193
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0