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Red34
516620.0
525717.8
550943.8
Blue50
560344.1
70329.9
519315.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77880501502002503003504003450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
blue by 0.3
5603
Unranked
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto1.2
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Second
5166
Unranked
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 9.8
703
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
5257
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 2.1
5193
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0