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Red54
550943.8
377035.5
261948.6
Blue24
522926.7
546044.5
70329.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129920501502002505424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 4.0
5460
Unranked
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
Second
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
red by 14.0
703
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
3770
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 8.7
5229
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0