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Red122
515616.6
519315.8
261948.6
Blue92
353826.7
550943.8
522422.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759205015020025030012292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 4.7
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Second
5156
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 10.1
3538
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
5193
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 6.5
5224
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0