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Red120
36854.0
250422.8
209030.1
Blue16
372123.1
570111.7
137816.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5427020408010012014016012016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#3
54.05.7
22.728.4
Auto4.2
Teleop49.7
End0.0
red by 30.8
3721
#23
23.10.2
9.89.9
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
2090
#16
30.15.7
17.923.6
Auto0.6
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 13.7
1378
#27
16.40.2
13.813.9
Auto1.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
2504
#20
22.85.7
10.816.5
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 11.1
5701
#33
11.73.0
11.78.7
Auto1.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0