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Red42
285328.9
530713.4
209030.1
Blue78
477422.0
243831.8
415844.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457301001502004278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2090
#16
30.10.2
24.924.7
Auto0.6
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 14.5
44.61.0
28.829.8
Auto1.1
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Second
2853
#17
28.90.2
13.613.4
Auto0.7
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2438
#11
31.81.6
18.019.6
Auto0.8
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
5307
#34
13.40.2
12.212.0
Auto0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 8.5
4774
#22
22.01.0
24.125.0
Auto0.4
Teleop21.6
End0.0