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Red76
393336.7
388232.5
388117.6
Blue38
530713.4
246529.4
300826.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6040020801001201407638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.9
19.820.7
Auto0.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
red by 7.3
29.40.4
15.515.1
Auto1.3
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Second
3882
#14
32.51.1
23.124.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 5.6
3008
#12
26.90.3
15.415.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
3881
#25
17.61.0
16.217.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 4.2
5307
#34
13.40.6
13.913.4
Auto0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0