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Red67
244519.5
425341.3
234826.7
Blue82
1142.2
530713.4
38009.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656140801006782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.0
33.533.6
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
blue by 1.0
11
#7
42.20.9
35.836.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Second
2348
#19
26.70.0
18.518.6
Auto0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 13.2
5307
#34
13.41.5
13.715.2
Auto0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
2445
#24
19.50.0
14.414.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 9.6
3800
#29
9.91.5
14.115.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.2
End0.0