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Red42
285328.9
247719.7
574926.3
Blue13
250422.8
137816.4
245913.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405001001502002503003504004213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2853
#17
28.90.4
17.618.0
Auto0.7
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 6.1
2504
#20
22.83.1
19.116.0
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
5749
#15
26.30.4
15.115.5
Auto0.5
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 9.9
1378
#27
16.43.1
17.013.9
Auto1.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
2477
#21
19.70.4
10.310.7
Auto1.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 5.9
2459
#32
13.83.1
14.111.0
Auto0.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0