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Red132
393336.7
1142.2
372123.1
Blue144
388117.6
35961.1
415844.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83116050100150200250300132144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#7
42.22.1
40.842.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
blue by 18.9
359
#1
61.11.5
57.659.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop61.9
End0.0
Second
36.72.1
31.733.8
Auto0.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
blue by 7.9
44.61.5
40.542.0
Auto1.1
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Third
3721
#23
23.13.0
18.321.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 5.5
3881
#25
17.61.5
16.618.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0