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Red95
574926.3
477422.0
1142.2
Blue0
19722.7
245913.8
38009.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6515050100150950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#7
42.21.8
29.231.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 28.5
2459
#32
13.80.9
8.37.3
Auto0.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Second
5749
#15
26.314.8
26.311.5
Auto0.5
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 16.4
3800
#29
9.90.9
6.15.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
4774
#22
22.01.8
21.523.3
Auto0.4
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 19.3
1972
#36
2.70.9
8.57.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop3.1
End0.0