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Red67
562517.6
243727.4
285328.9
Blue87
244519.5
247719.7
300826.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734101001502006787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2853
#17
28.90.3
30.630.3
Auto0.7
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 2.0
3008
#12
26.92.0
24.926.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
2437
#18
27.40.2
23.022.8
Auto0.1
Teleop27.3
End0.0
red by 7.7
2477
#21
19.72.8
11.714.5
Auto1.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
5625
#26
17.60.3
17.216.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 1.9
2445
#24
19.52.8
11.314.1
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0