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Qual 562015 Hawaii Regional
Red140
36854.0
247719.7
415844.6
Blue122
574926.3
244345.8
300826.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10283050150200140122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#3
54.02.5
46.6→49.0
Auto4.2
Teleop49.7
End0.0
red by 8.2
2443
#5
45.81.6
39.7→41.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
4158
#4
44.61.8
42.0→43.8
Auto1.1
Teleop43.5
End0.0
red by 17.7
3008
#12
26.91.6
26.9→28.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
2477
#21
19.72.5
14.5→17.0
Auto1.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 6.6
5749
#15
26.32.2
22.5→24.7
Auto0.5
Teleop25.8
End0.0