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Red90
137816.4
477422.0
35961.1
Blue82
234826.7
61043.7
388117.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102760501502009082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
61.10.6
59.158.5
Auto-0.8
Teleop61.9
End0.0
red by 17.4
610
#10
43.70.1
41.141.0
Auto0.5
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Second
4774
#22
22.00.6
24.724.1
Auto0.4
Teleop21.6
End0.0
blue by 4.7
2348
#19
26.70.1
23.923.9
Auto0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
1378
#27
16.40.8
18.317.5
Auto1.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 1.2
3881
#25
17.60.1
18.118.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0