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Qual 652015 Hawaii Regional
Red100
570111.7
243727.4
415844.6
Blue57
1142.2
137816.4
289610.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74660204010012014010057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4158
#4
44.61.2
43.8→45.0
Auto1.1
Teleop43.5
End0.0
red by 2.4
11
#7
42.20.6
42.5→41.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Second
2437
#18
27.41.2
23.4→24.6
Auto0.1
Teleop27.3
End0.0
red by 11.0
1378
#27
16.40.8
17.5→16.7
Auto1.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
5701
#33
11.71.5
8.4→9.9
Auto1.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 1.6
2896
#31
10.10.8
9.8→9.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.5
End0.0