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Red135
425341.3
35961.1
372123.1
Blue44
285328.9
388117.6
477422.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12859010015020013544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
61.10.7
59.660.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop61.9
End0.0
red by 32.2
2853
#17
28.91.2
30.228.9
Auto0.7
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Second
41.30.7
40.641.3
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 19.3
4774
#22
22.01.1
23.122.0
Auto0.4
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
3721
#23
23.10.7
21.622.3
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 5.5
3881
#25
17.61.1
18.917.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0