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Red59
244413.9
1142.2
247719.7
Blue128
61043.7
388232.5
388019.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698805015020025030059128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#7
42.20.4
41.842.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
blue by 1.5
610
#10
43.72.0
40.942.9
Auto0.5
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Second
2477
#21
19.70.5
19.219.7
Auto1.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 12.8
3882
#14
32.52.0
30.732.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Third
2444
#28
13.90.5
13.413.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 6.0
3880
#30
19.92.2
16.819.0
Auto0.8
Teleop19.1
End0.0