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Qual 82015 Hawaii Regional
Red52
250422.8
388232.5
38009.9
Blue106
285328.9
244345.8
243831.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43512004006008001,0001,20052106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#14
32.50.4
24.2→24.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop32.9
End0.0
blue by 13.3
2443
#5
45.83.3
29.2→32.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
2504
#20
22.80.5
16.5→17.0
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 8.9
2438
#11
31.84.5
13.5→18.0
Auto0.8
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
3800
#29
9.90.5
5.2→5.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 19.0
2853
#17
28.94.5
9.1→13.6
Auto0.7
Teleop28.2
End0.0