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Red209
98797.5
282695.2
251248.2
Blue178
261457.0
121864.7
12556.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248158100200300350400209178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
97.50.6
98.197.5
Auto8.9
Teleop88.7
End0.0
red by 32.8
64.70.1
64.664.7
Auto1.3
Teleop63.4
End0.0
Second
95.20.6
95.795.2
Auto14.2
Teleop80.9
End0.0
red by 38.2
57.00.1
56.957.0
Auto3.6
Teleop53.4
End0.0
Third
2512
#52
48.20.6
48.748.2
Auto10.2
Teleop38.0
End0.0
blue by 8.6
125
#18
56.70.1
56.656.7
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0