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Red143
325555.1
531834.2
545428.0
Blue114
439152.4
16643.4
283026.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72112050100150200250143114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#10
55.13.1
35.038.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 2.7
4391
#30
52.40.2
46.646.8
Auto0.7
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Second
5318
#34
34.23.8
24.027.8
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End0.0
blue by 9.2
166
#24
43.40.2
41.041.2
Auto1.7
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Third
5454
#49
28.03.1
22.325.4
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 1.1
2830
#63
26.90.2
22.422.6
Auto1.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0