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Red122
309844.8
541352.7
218320.0
Blue180
234432.7
577124.2
46970.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001100200300400500600700122180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#11
52.70.8
40.441.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop53.3
End0.0
blue by 18.0
469
#5
70.73.7
64.668.3
Auto-1.2
Teleop71.9
End0.0
Second
3098
#44
44.80.8
49.650.5
Auto6.3
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 12.1
2344
#31
32.75.3
24.730.0
Auto-1.2
Teleop33.9
End0.0
Third
2183
#57
20.01.1
15.516.6
Auto0.0
Teleop19.9
End0.0
blue by 4.2
5771
#60
24.23.7
23.126.8
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0