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Red236
57361.9
283026.9
98797.5
Blue108
251248.2
139126.6
309844.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18010650150200250236108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
97.53.4
90.894.1
Auto8.9
Teleop88.7
End0.0
red by 49.4
2512
#52
48.20.7
46.045.3
Auto10.2
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
573
#13
61.93.4
59.763.1
Auto2.6
Teleop59.2
End0.0
red by 17.1
3098
#44
44.80.7
50.349.6
Auto6.3
Teleop38.5
End0.0
Third
2830
#63
26.93.4
24.127.5
Auto1.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 0.4
1391
#42
26.60.7
25.825.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0