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Red178
174642.7
542821.6
261457.0
Blue148
10340.6
216944.8
479919.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109050100150200178148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.03.4
53.156.4
Auto3.6
Teleop53.4
End0.0
red by 12.2
2169
#26
44.82.9
41.744.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop44.8
End0.0
Second
1746
#20
42.73.4
39.342.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0
red by 2.0
103
#35
40.62.9
37.740.6
Auto0.9
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Third
5428
#62
21.63.4
18.221.6
Auto-0.9
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 1.7
4799
#69
19.92.9
17.019.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop20.8
End0.0