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Qual 262015 Hopper Division
Red114
16643.4
448617.3
432938.7
Blue139
368366.6
139126.6
216944.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73125050100150200250114139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#24
43.41.5
41.2→42.7
Auto1.7
Teleop41.7
End0.0
blue by 23.3
3683
#12
66.60.9
69.6→70.5
Auto4.5
Teleop62.2
End0.0
Second
4329
#36
38.71.5
23.6→25.1
Auto-1.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
blue by 6.0
2169
#26
44.80.9
36.2→37.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop44.8
End0.0
Third
4486
#66
17.31.5
18.8→20.3
Auto-1.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 9.2
1391
#42
26.60.9
15.5→16.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0