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Red141
541352.7
234432.7
426534.9
Blue122
3380.8
260925.4
201655.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86165050100150200250141122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#11
52.72.0
42.144.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop53.3
End0.0
blue by 28.1
33
#4
80.81.8
81.679.8
Auto6.8
Teleop74.0
End0.0
Second
4265
#45
34.92.0
28.930.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.1
End0.0
blue by 20.7
2016
#16
55.61.8
50.748.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop56.5
End0.0
Third
2344
#31
32.72.4
30.633.0
Auto-1.2
Teleop33.9
End0.0
red by 7.3
2609
#64
25.41.8
26.324.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0