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Red124
206443.9
545428.0
181755.3
Blue162
432938.7
413043.6
362041.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106105100110120130140160124162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#15
55.30.7
42.443.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 11.7
4130
#33
43.62.7
39.041.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Second
2064
#40
43.90.7
40.241.0
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0
red by 2.3
3620
#56
41.62.7
44.447.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.8
End0.0
Third
5454
#49
28.00.7
26.627.4
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
blue by 10.7
4329
#36
38.72.7
25.127.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0