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Red201
368366.6
172348.2
26360.9
Blue108
261457.0
283026.9
395040.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17485050100150200250201108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#12
66.61.7
68.570.2
Auto4.5
Teleop62.2
End0.0
red by 9.6
57.00.3
43.844.1
Auto3.6
Teleop53.4
End0.0
Second
263
#14
60.91.7
55.557.2
Auto2.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
red by 20.8
3950
#23
40.10.3
34.034.3
Auto0.7
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Third
1723
#19
48.21.7
42.444.1
Auto1.5
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 21.3
2830
#63
26.90.3
24.224.5
Auto1.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0