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Red183
282695.2
57361.9
153323.2
Blue140
201655.6
22327.2
216944.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18095050150200250183140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.20.5
88.188.6
Auto14.2
Teleop80.9
End0.0
red by 39.5
2016
#16
55.62.0
48.950.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop56.5
End0.0
Second
573
#13
61.90.5
61.862.4
Auto2.6
Teleop59.2
End0.0
red by 17.1
2169
#26
44.82.0
37.139.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop44.8
End0.0
Third
1533
#55
23.20.5
23.023.5
Auto2.1
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 3.9
223
#50
27.22.0
25.627.6
Auto-0.9
Teleop28.1
End0.0