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Red196
253023.3
368366.6
12556.7
Blue128
368853.1
222848.5
577124.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14711350100200250196128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#12
66.62.4
70.272.7
Auto4.5
Teleop62.2
End0.0
red by 13.5
3688
#32
53.10.3
52.052.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.3
End0.0
Second
125
#18
56.72.4
51.654.0
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0
red by 8.3
2228
#27
48.50.3
47.948.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Third
2530
#71
23.32.4
25.528.0
Auto1.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5771
#60
24.20.3
22.823.1
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0