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Red132
501539.2
261457.0
362041.6
Blue102
278350.6
458912.2
78133.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13164050100150200132102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.00.4
44.144.5
Auto3.6
Teleop53.4
End0.0
red by 6.4
2783
#38
50.61.2
44.445.6
Auto1.2
Teleop49.3
End0.0
Second
3620
#56
41.60.4
47.147.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.8
End0.0
red by 8.4
781
#28
33.11.2
26.627.8
Auto0.9
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Third
5015
#37
39.20.4
33.834.1
Auto2.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 27.0
4589
#72
12.21.2
6.47.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop12.8
End0.0