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Red170
556238.4
550943.8
201655.6
Blue94
325555.1
206443.9
1146.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119134020030040017094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#16
55.62.2
50.953.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop56.5
End0.0
red by 0.5
3255
#10
55.11.8
42.540.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
5509
#21
43.82.2
37.039.2
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
blue by 2.9
11
#54
46.71.8
53.251.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Third
5562
#39
38.42.2
38.040.2
Auto0.2
Teleop38.3
End0.0
blue by 5.4
2064
#40
43.91.8
41.039.1
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0