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Red124
251248.2
436263.4
57361.9
Blue202
112447.8
426534.9
179630.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18286050100150200250124202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.42.5
58.756.2
Auto0.5
Teleop62.9
End0.0
red by 15.6
1124
#22
47.84.9
46.851.7
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Second
573
#13
61.92.5
62.459.9
Auto2.6
Teleop59.2
End0.0
red by 27.0
4265
#45
34.94.9
27.832.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Third
2512
#52
48.22.5
52.550.0
Auto10.2
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 17.3
1796
#53
30.94.9
29.934.8
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0