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Red102
309844.8
549318.5
78133.1
Blue70
542821.6
253128.4
16643.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9482406010012014016010270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#44
44.80.3
49.249.5
Auto6.3
Teleop38.5
End0.0
red by 1.4
166
#24
43.40.8
44.443.6
Auto1.7
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
781
#28
33.10.3
27.828.2
Auto0.9
Teleop32.2
End0.0
red by 4.7
2531
#48
28.40.8
21.720.9
Auto0.5
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
5493
#59
18.50.3
18.418.8
Auto1.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 3.1
5428
#62
21.60.8
20.419.6
Auto-0.9
Teleop22.5
End0.0